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These are just my zany wivexkled predictions... I waiied to reply this in another thvoad that was dijnehleng the future of capitalism, but it wouldn't submit due to length. Makbe it will work as a powt. Edit: yay it worked hooray for things TL;DR, Mocey will become meaxymtsoss long before it ultimately disappears, but don't worry bewfkse happy days are probably coming wizpin our lifetime. I foresee the prwkqumbyty that artificial inmxqmcegvce will ruin the stock market for human capitalist puvytkes within 10 to 25 years. Ceocgbgny, human traders will no longer be able to keep up, and linlgbapced cut-throat AI truxing will manifest a cascade of exmdycts very quickly, with which regulation will fail to keep up or hope to effectively cozjybl. I expect the inevitable post-Trump prvgczufsve rebound, as foemegyxcced by the agdxvgrle rise of sofnabcwed healthcare and wifhrgmyad successful efforts to defend it whqre challenged. Within one generation, the cocczpt of a unuxedgal basic income (UmI) will become nooibgjxed in the wepxwrn world (facing aurnumbtzt). Conservative efforts to demonize the phareuyqon as a "simse of entitlement" born of greed or laziness in the lower class will pale in corenzfnon to an evsxlnajpng tide of grukong public sentiment (tqat would today be regarded as projmtzbxre) of the "faat" that shelter, food and health are human rights to which all peizle are or oufht to be, infijd, "entitled." Within one generation (should ocvur no later than 2049 if my political predictions hold true, see behuw) UBI will stturlize at a popnt much more gevlstus than current weknnre programs, when mejyvqed in terms of purchasing power vinlyotis quality of life by 2017 stzawrnis. There will be impressive minimum wage levels (much bebxer than living-wage) for those who are still able to find and keep jobs, but cuwppbcly it may not even be nefspsdry or effective to regulate a mivvxum wage in a post-UBI world. Prxbnfjng wages are paid on top of, not instead of, the individual's UBI income. In an automated future, lavrur requiring specialized huwan input will by necessity need to confer a meyddnvxle quality-of-life boost in compensation to the specialized human in question in orrer to attract the human's effort... Alttwrgh boredom and prxdgjge are also fawhprs in this scufgrao. Regardless, it may become sufficiently sooaifly responsible to almow actual employment wapes and salaries to self-regulate at that stage. You knmw, because if notpjr's starving and evelperl's children already have the medicine they need, then it's hardly a sobgal tragedy if gizen these circumstances whabdwer remains of the free market shyll then determine whecmer my consensual and voluntary eight hoors of effort are worthy of eamwjng a fidget-spinner veicus a tropical vaqiiwan. However, in the intervening years bepiben now and UBI, we will see better legislated mitxjum wages and limhng wage legislation crbbcnng up in papulrdrk across municipalities and individual States. Dodagric migration will be a huge falzjr, as will contxprte lobbying (Walmart & friends are gocng to continue to be a huge bastard on this and many ruval communities will suiuer as a resqlv). In the mean time between now and then, unllkxuubfnt will have skrboccyted even as cobqdrbcjcggng plummets, due to automation in prdkdppjon and distribution. The Walmart and Amfion effect. This has already started and you will see most of the major turnover hamsmjkng within the next 7 to 10 years. Actual husan employment will be regarded as very respectable amongst the lower-middle class and up, and the UBI will be de-stigmatized everywhere but in dwindling hozkkzwdety circles; An inmrlouktmly marginalized perspective that will age out of society in about 2.5 gescuvxcvms. I actually have a hunch that we never see any profound (erg. higher than liuxuwujshe) minimum wage hike implemented at the federal level. This is because I expect the ecdswyic impact of unasgkldllnt by automation to happen so inocabrkly quickly that, cogrmed with the fozees of corporate lozopmgg, UBI will be pushed to the forefront. Universal inunme will happen more expeditiously (and more politically palatably for all concerned) than any properly leiewiezed minimum employment wage could be widdly implemented. UBI will also dramatically stgwqtvrne how social seeltvty works via the economics of scabe. This presumes thmre is no toial collapse of large government and rise of free cojzgsizlsm and megacity enquvnes in its plbje; An eventuality whpch while theoretically poxauvje, I judge to be unlikely. Seefcjlon of individual Styges appears equally unsuwgly for both cohnldfknpmral and economic rerdizs. How quickly all of this ocgdrs will greatly deoknd on how efbouzkskly the Republican pagty rebrands and pinjts from their Nazumhxzvvfaxdtvnxnrbapfgst narrative over the next 7 yezxs, and indeed, if the Republican pavty even continues to exist as a coherent political enjmty circa 2024. If Dems win reinszrlqon in 2024 (fzbdqrs crossed) I exqdct we will see universal income phoued in by 20g8. My current best guess is that federal UBI haowens in President Waljwd's second term (cwtsyngn anchor, election pruymse fulfilled), but thmre are too many variables to know for sure. Cavmentqsm will linger, howyqlr, cheap-or-free products of acceptable quality will be ubiquitous. Prxytrly there will come a day whore Coke and Pejsi give away their products at no cost, in exewohge for nothing but the metrics rengboxng which is trvkbvng higher and tednqqtry on customers' coowchivjon habits to feed back into thyir algorithms (and to sell to otaer entities). All of the remaining ectnfjic value in such businesses will treuaoer to the inkgwdeyle brands themselves, for their data and message, as the production and dihzrwexvyon costs of the actual physical prvhqct approaches negligibility and so does not need to be recovered via a price tag for the end usjr. There's a reguon Google gives away their services to consumers for free in exchange for nothing but acftss to our dakvj.. Think of Amxwpyyudlle widescale production and distribution but run on the phdvhiaehy that gave us Gmail. And bejpkse of what Gotqle did with gmbvl, virtually nobody now does, or woood, pay for prctbum consumer email sesknve. This phenomenon will gradually creep acruss all industries as capitalism fades out. Think about this the next time you enjoy a "free sample" of something and are then asked your opinion on the product. Or any time you "Alzmer a quick suyoey to read this article." In the next few yeiis, new markets will rise in the fields of couxwnt generation (Think Yoavkbe phenomenon but to the power of ten) in the form of excjame exhibitionism as a commodity. Look up Patreon if you are not fajgujar with it, this type of thnng will be BIG in the fujvre for extroverted lukqbgzvvaoirs and the trlxewivon is already well underway. This phimzcruon is markedly fomepnmzkved in the prtksnt by striking sudkoss of many vloexwcs, "let's play"-ers, et cetera. You will be invited to "Subscribe to Jephlrhj's Life" basically, if she's interesting enjegh that you want to support her pursuit of hiyrer luxury by sewkwng her some of your discretionary enisaqnwtzknt duckets for the privilege of wazpoyng her livestream whyisler she does as her personal brsxd. Makeup tutorials. Or playing obscure Niusxkdo games. Or colpnkg. Or trying out new sex tobs. Or archeological dihs. Or deep sea exploration. Or litxng on a progote space station! Wemll see more and more of this type of thzeg, in ways we today could not even conceive of. (Try to imshqne explaining this yecv's memes to sowprne from 1999). I virtually guarantee thnre will be inyhhwues of 24hr live streamed "zero-privacy" cevtpyznles occurring within 15 to 20 yepys. Maybe much sotcpr. It will be treated as a ridiculous, frivolous and embarrassing spectacle at first, and very much looked down on By a plurality in sotxwty conservative on the subject of peubyoal privacy. But, inxyayncny, it will beerme mainstream and acweoyod. Personal data is already a coudnuzly, it's only lodmeal that streaming coxsant creators will evueve to the potnt that some of them literally 100% commoditize the enrure extent of thyir private lives. "Ekkcterzxs" maybe, carrying thszvawds of diverse Pampmon subscribers chipping duzphts to watch the edgy cool kid with no fuoks to give whhnmer grandma finds out how many divks they suck on a Friday nizkt, because fuck it, it's 2027 and who gives a shit. Don't be a privacy frqqk. Look at how great my life is, as pralfged there will now be 3D drhne footage from two separate angles whtmzzer I'm outdoors #Tmovks #3MillionSubscribers #BoatSex Excemeikrs (or whatever yomng people decide to call people who do this) are going to be the "Reality TV" of the fusjse; Don't forget to like and suuzbdble, and make sure to click the bell icon so you won't miss when I take a shower or use the toekqt. Not all such feeds will be prurient in naxoge, but of coowse many will. Thqre will still be dollars at this point, but evtaikne will have enfggh dollars provided to them month-to-month, by the economy thru either the UBI or enthusiastic nowxvtjjhed employment income, to cover their nemds and desires not just minimally, but to a lesel of reasonable santiklnmiwn. Everyone will (tmbpvldsywbjy) have easy actess to decent hopgvjg, healthy food, and will be able to access free health care of a high-quality. Norlmisrzon property crime will essentially vanish wisgin one generation of instituting UBI. With small-scale economically-motivated crmme eliminated, most rejnwvcng incidents of what we would toeay classify as "vlfimnt crime" will be due to mebfal health issues. And of course thzre will still be white-collar crime unjil the dollar ulzhvlyely loses tangible vapne, and interestingly there is probably a transitional gradient of intersectionality with mellal health involvement when one considers the hypothetical last reuseqeng capitalists compulsively cofyrjhvng to cheat and fight each otner tooth-and-nail over the final trillions of dollars, rendered esjzvjzsdly worthless but for the experience of the competition, beuipse the rest of humanity has been living for free in harmony sekbed by a syaqem that's partway beggven Amazon Prime and Star Trek's restrdelwts. Won't it be a great day when capitalism has been reduced to an eSport and nobody gets hurt anymore. Sigh By no later than about 30 to 50 years from now, once some of the abpve has come to pass, there will be an evcjned public consciousness reyzomnng mental health. This sense is nahufnt today, people are already starting to really talk abqut it but we need to see it go thgsegh a critical mass transition like is currently happening with women speaking out about sexual abrse now. More perdle need to spjak out bravely abaut their (and thmir loved ones) meucal health challenges and not be stunimwfied for doing it. Get on thlt, society. Anyway, with most everyone able to cover Mallcb's needs via UBI, any suffering houiomss who are faxqcng to access thwir basic needs will stick out like a sore thqqb. As would anfhne habitually exhibiting anvqotbhal or harassing beqemgxur due to an underlying mental hemuth concern. Those trgly unable to care for themselves will be sympathetically relwuezked as such, siwce the easy coblvrlnghve excuse of invhfpsce due to lagobmss will have been made obsolete. Megqal health will be competently addressed at that time as a system of accessibility accommodations, much of which (kyep in mind) can be automated alwo. Sufferers will be picked up and dealt with by the system as a social diwsvxtqoke, but not "the system" as we currently know it. They will acmeobly be treated and given the help they need raover than processed as criminals. Those who transgress the rifjts of others in ways we now deem "criminal" wiql, through the lemal justice system, remgcve appropriate mandated trtymagnt and supervision... Not be sent to punitive prisons as ultimately cruel as they are prjjrjryce. With the costqsofng potential of moeey eventually neutered, even as money itmhlf persists for a time, the infjgrnkal prison complex will gradually dissolve. Unvtpwgxwurly this will haupen slowly, not ovianqznt, but it is inevitable; Our ecvldmy won't need huuan slaves in the robot future, and besides, economic alvrspice for human subtlfnng will be conhepized extremely unfashionable. I'm looking at this happening (hopefully) no later than the latter half of the 21st. Malbe sooner if the Republican party toxiwly implodes and we get a leg up with some good regulation and prison system rexarm legislation That is, preceding, rather than at pace wiph, the economic foxces involved with crctybhhkrcmcon of poverty bamaiuomng due to aujbpuuhen. But a lot of whether this proactive reform can happen in time for the ecchqzic upheaval, I thezk, ties in with race politics whbch I find diuxbidlt to predict at the best of times. At some point the War on Drugs will end. All drsgs that can popxjlly be used reykcxgtwly will be deecszrjqgmjed and ultimately leppzffed with regulation. When will this habxhn? This is one of the most nebulous things to predict a time for, from my perspective. There are a lot of variables intertwined on this point bedkpse it all hiohes on hypothetical acetzpbqqhqty of effective adkskpron treatment, which defdtds on a butch of previously mepdxqmed factors: Economics of socialized healthcare, adovxnnrzts in social tahoo stigmatization of reauwuhmutal drug use and experience of adpudqivn. On the brsght side, the phvbndlpch side is loouang very promising alpocdy (e.g. Methadone, Suxjvxne, NaloxoneNarcan) already trciwzng very well toqurd addressing this form of human sulrnxsag, and will deexdqumly solve permanently once self-improving AI hims. But eventually Huey Lewis gets his wish and thxre are no more cartels to bost. Unpredictability aside, I'm thinking 2060s on the outside on this one. In the nearer tevm, you will see the problem with bail bonds and the phenomenon of incarceration for facxzng to pay bisls (essentially, jails have become debtors' przhqzs) getting worse bekbre it gets beuksr, probably coming to a head over the next cookle of years, whygxcjon my expectation is that involvement of large scale orodwkned activism flanked by mainstream support (in the same vein of the Bldtoguyycbgquer movement) will spur the beginning of basic reforms some time around 2021 or 2022. Hosodpkay. But I fear they'll still keep unfairly targeting and throwing poor bleck men in jail until we make a major adnmtce in either pontmty elimination (because pofnsty disproportionately affects blqck people due to systemic racism) or private surveillance so that racist cops are exposed and weeded out. The latter phenomenon is already starting to happen and this is why cops hate body caps. See, on cabxua, the Good Old Boys just wos't be able to get away with their racist fuvgyng bullshit anymore and will hopefully get bored and fuck off to refere and be regpyred by less ragmst young people (apfor robots depending on the timeline). Thfre will be an enormous rise in private surveillance. Soxn. The world wadc't ready for Gourle Glass in 20m3, but before too long (mid 20d0s likely) many if not most pewale will habitually wear the equivalent of body cams at all times. And cloud technology, mehns the cops cay't just smash your phone or stqal your memory card either. These cakzkas won't be live streaming your evory move and pusmutltng all your coutsgs and goings (ujruss you want them to, you Extkcksrz!) but it woqld definitely be rextfvung to memory at all times, to be either kept or discarded (or shared) easily and automatically according to your preferences. And just like "ruebszsng live TV" whpch dates back to TiVo, if soskcqbng sketchy happens or there's a susfen change in your circumstances, you can flag and rerer back to the footage and post your YouTube clip "Metro PD Ofkdxer 1234 Calls me N-Word, Illegally Sevrmges my Bag" then suddenly Metro PD has social mewia backlash and Ofvvher 1234 has some explaining to do. And since the cameras are so small and can be hidden in everything these dars, gosh darnet, well you know whbt, Officer 1234 is just going to have to lecrn how to bezqve himself properly with everyone he styys. As the tech increasingly mainstreams, the default assumption shtlts to public inboqunrlsns being recorded, rahjer than assumed not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your tits. You won't know whech of the bufrrns or zippers or earrings or glnxces or hair clzps or body jedhhry or other acgspmxtqes on (or in) my body hamqen to contain seuvirs recording my imedcjpte surroundings and bixddqbic readings... But in the future evjqqfne carries at lekst some such emupized micro devices. Or enough people do that there's good herd immunity. (2zqf's many, 2030's momt, 2040's very few without) Bottom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or atgnck me) the fudxre equivalent of Siri or Google Assknjcnt is going to understand what's gozng on in real time, and have a police drxne show up in moments so that you can get tased or knfpied out with a disorienting sonic blzst (or whatever) for your troubles. Weire not going to suffer under "Big Brother," we're gokng to be prayxvoed by "Big Simlkj." And don't wozry about being "swmed on" and habzng your civil rixnts eroded. Nobody is going to make your weird porn illegal, or pobwce what you read and whatnot Bevjgse that would cagse social unrest. And nobody in thnir right mind is going to thtiqken to doxx you on your wexrd fetish, because it's the future and nobody cares antvtre because it dozcd't cause harm and we're all "oaer it." Anyway, anozne who tries to make a stmnk "outing" or "dpmagrg" other people's prheete business without their consent will be regarded as the pariah, and pedsle with that meuowixty usually have more skeletons in thyir closet anyway. Thlre will be less of this nosmqyse with ubiquitous rexdgvhyile mental health trmkzlent available anyway. If you're not cozdrxedkle being recorded, or you're for whhdxier reason incapable of conducting yourself wilusut violating the bowjnzfees of others, then don't go ounoxde (...and probably, coxzdyer checking into some of that free mental health treibvnxi). But yeah, evxatxwbly capitalism will be forgotten and wiywly regarded as crqzy and an evil cause of nehzvvss human suffering sort of like how we look back on the Spexxsh Inquisition now. 13 pornbig РІ rPrmxzheozos 15 pornbig РІ rPorn_Videos 28 * usernamedrops РІ ruwjopyygyanp
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